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supply_chain_resilience: dual-mode GNN delay predictor (train from scratch or load pre-created) #92

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c2ef48d
supply_chain_resilience: dual-mode GNN delay predictor (train from sc…
cafzal Jun 29, 2026
8eda871
supply_chain_resilience: verified CSV-backed GNN — homogeneous graph …
cafzal Jun 29, 2026
dcde21c
generate_corpus: lint clean + make edge generation reproducible
cafzal Jun 29, 2026
93fdc7b
supply_chain_resilience: predictive is a first-class Stage 2 in the r…
cafzal Jun 29, 2026
7e54bcd
Regenerate version indexes for supply_chain_resilience's new Predicti…
cafzal Jun 29, 2026
ad95c9d
supply_chain_resilience: recalibrate predictive corpus + threshold so…
cafzal Jun 29, 2026
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion README.md
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Expand Up @@ -107,7 +107,7 @@ The index below covers the current templates. Expand an industry to see its temp
| [network_flow_planning](v1/network_flow_planning/) | Prescriptive | Plan a multi-tier distribution flow that decides which fulfillment centers to open and how much to ship on every lane to satisfy customer demand at minimum cost. |
| [shipment_compliance](v1/shipment_compliance/) | Rules-based | Derived classifications for shipment compliance, sourcing risk, and demand escalation. |
| [supplier_reliability](v1/supplier_reliability/) | Prescriptive | Select suppliers to meet product demand at minimum cost, with sensitivity marginals and supplier-disruption scenario analysis. |
| [supply_chain_resilience](v1/supply_chain_resilience/) | Graph, Rules-based, Prescriptive | Chain blast-radius reachability, network analysis, and rule-based risk classification into a risk-adjusted minimum-cost network flow for supply-chain routing. |
| [supply_chain_resilience](v1/supply_chain_resilience/) | Graph, Predictive, Rules-based, Prescriptive | Chain blast-radius reachability, network analysis, a graph neural network (GNN) that forecasts per-supplier delay risk, and rule-based risk classification into a risk-adjusted minimum-cost network flow for supply-chain routing. |
| [supply_chain_transport](v1/supply_chain_transport/) | Prescriptive | Minimize inventory holding and transport costs with TL/LTL mode selection. |
| [traveling_salesman](v1/traveling_salesman/) | Prescriptive | Find the shortest route visiting all cities exactly once using the MTZ formulation. |
| [warehouse_allocation](v1/warehouse_allocation/) | Graph, Prescriptive | Allocate inventory across a distribution network using centrality, weakly-connected components, and bridge-route detection to prioritize critical hubs. |
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion v1/README.md
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Expand Up @@ -97,7 +97,7 @@ Templates are grouped by industry. Expand an industry to see its templates, the
| [network_flow_planning](./network_flow_planning/) | Prescriptive | Plan a multi-tier distribution flow that decides which fulfillment centers to open and how much to ship on every lane to satisfy customer demand at minimum cost. |
| [shipment_compliance](./shipment_compliance/) | Rules-based | Derived classifications for shipment compliance, sourcing risk, and demand escalation. |
| [supplier_reliability](./supplier_reliability/) | Prescriptive | Select suppliers to meet product demand at minimum cost, with sensitivity marginals and supplier-disruption scenario analysis. |
| [supply_chain_resilience](./supply_chain_resilience/) | Graph, Rules-based, Prescriptive | Chain blast-radius reachability, network analysis, and rule-based risk classification into a risk-adjusted minimum-cost network flow for supply-chain routing. |
| [supply_chain_resilience](./supply_chain_resilience/) | Graph, Predictive, Rules-based, Prescriptive | Chain blast-radius reachability, network analysis, a graph neural network (GNN) that forecasts per-supplier delay risk, and rule-based risk classification into a risk-adjusted minimum-cost network flow for supply-chain routing. |
| [supply_chain_transport](./supply_chain_transport/) | Prescriptive | Minimize inventory holding and transport costs with TL/LTL mode selection. |
| [traveling_salesman](./traveling_salesman/) | Prescriptive | Find the shortest route visiting all cities exactly once using the MTZ formulation. |
| [warehouse_allocation](./warehouse_allocation/) | Graph, Prescriptive | Allocate inventory across a distribution network using centrality, weakly-connected components, and bridge-route detection to prioritize critical hubs. |
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115 changes: 82 additions & 33 deletions v1/supply_chain_resilience/README.md
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128 changes: 92 additions & 36 deletions v1/supply_chain_resilience/data/delay_prediction.csv
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@@ -1,37 +1,93 @@
ID,SUPPLIER_BUSINESS_ID,FISCAL_QUARTER,PREDICTED_DELAY_PROB,PREDICTED_AVG_DELAY_DAYS,CONFIDENCE,RISK_TIER,MODEL_VERSION,CREATED_AT
PRED_B015_Q1_2025,B015,Q1-2025,0.03,0.0,0.87,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B015_Q2_2025,B015,Q2-2025,0.03,2.4,0.76,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B015_Q3_2025,B015,Q3-2025,0.03,0.0,0.91,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B015_Q4_2025,B015,Q4-2025,0.039,0.9,0.83,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B016_Q1_2025,B016,Q1-2025,0.11,2.4,0.87,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B016_Q2_2025,B016,Q2-2025,0.11,2.8,0.94,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B016_Q3_2025,B016,Q3-2025,0.11,1.6,0.9,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B016_Q4_2025,B016,Q4-2025,0.143,2.7,0.86,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B017_Q1_2025,B017,Q1-2025,0.22,2.8,0.88,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B017_Q2_2025,B017,Q2-2025,0.22,2.2,0.77,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B017_Q3_2025,B017,Q3-2025,0.22,4.1,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B017_Q4_2025,B017,Q4-2025,0.286,3.4,0.86,HIGH,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B001_Q1_2025,B001,Q1-2025,0.05,0.5,0.8,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B001_Q2_2025,B001,Q2-2025,0.05,1.3,0.95,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B001_Q3_2025,B001,Q3-2025,0.05,0.6,0.93,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B001_Q4_2025,B001,Q4-2025,0.065,1.6,0.77,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B002_Q1_2025,B002,Q1-2025,0.12,3.6,0.84,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B002_Q2_2025,B002,Q2-2025,0.12,3.8,0.84,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B002_Q3_2025,B002,Q3-2025,0.12,0.6,0.89,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B002_Q4_2025,B002,Q4-2025,0.156,3.9,0.81,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B003_Q1_2025,B003,Q1-2025,0.28,3.2,0.76,HIGH,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B003_Q2_2025,B003,Q2-2025,0.28,4.0,0.93,HIGH,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B003_Q3_2025,B003,Q3-2025,0.28,5.2,0.89,HIGH,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B003_Q4_2025,B003,Q4-2025,0.364,6.3,0.88,HIGH,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B012_Q1_2025,B012,Q1-2025,0.09,3.1,0.85,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B012_Q2_2025,B012,Q2-2025,0.09,0.4,0.79,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B012_Q3_2025,B012,Q3-2025,0.09,0.5,0.91,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B012_Q4_2025,B012,Q4-2025,0.117,0.3,0.86,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B013_Q1_2025,B013,Q1-2025,0.07,1.2,0.91,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B013_Q2_2025,B013,Q2-2025,0.07,1.9,0.87,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B013_Q3_2025,B013,Q3-2025,0.07,0.0,0.81,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B013_Q4_2025,B013,Q4-2025,0.091,3.9,0.89,LOW,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B014_Q1_2025,B014,Q1-2025,0.15,2.6,0.9,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B014_Q2_2025,B014,Q2-2025,0.15,3.8,0.76,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B014_Q3_2025,B014,Q3-2025,0.15,4.4,0.88,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B014_Q4_2025,B014,Q4-2025,0.195,2.7,0.89,MEDIUM,gnn_v2.0,2024-12-15 00:00:00
PRED_B017_Q1_2025,B017,Q1-2025,0.84,8.4,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B017_Q2_2025,B017,Q2-2025,0.84,8.4,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B017_Q3_2025,B017,Q3-2025,0.84,8.4,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B017_Q4_2025,B017,Q4-2025,0.84,8.4,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B003_Q1_2025,B003,Q1-2025,0.817,8.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B003_Q2_2025,B003,Q2-2025,0.817,8.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B003_Q3_2025,B003,Q3-2025,0.817,8.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B003_Q4_2025,B003,Q4-2025,0.817,8.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B014_Q1_2025,B014,Q1-2025,0.792,7.9,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B014_Q2_2025,B014,Q2-2025,0.792,7.9,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B014_Q3_2025,B014,Q3-2025,0.792,7.9,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B014_Q4_2025,B014,Q4-2025,0.792,7.9,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B005_Q1_2025,B005,Q1-2025,0.735,7.3,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B005_Q2_2025,B005,Q2-2025,0.735,7.3,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B005_Q3_2025,B005,Q3-2025,0.735,7.3,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B005_Q4_2025,B005,Q4-2025,0.735,7.3,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B024_Q1_2025,B024,Q1-2025,0.522,5.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B024_Q2_2025,B024,Q2-2025,0.522,5.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B024_Q3_2025,B024,Q3-2025,0.522,5.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B024_Q4_2025,B024,Q4-2025,0.522,5.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B002_Q1_2025,B002,Q1-2025,0.447,4.5,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B002_Q2_2025,B002,Q2-2025,0.447,4.5,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B002_Q3_2025,B002,Q3-2025,0.447,4.5,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B002_Q4_2025,B002,Q4-2025,0.447,4.5,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B020_Q1_2025,B020,Q1-2025,0.42,4.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B020_Q2_2025,B020,Q2-2025,0.42,4.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B020_Q3_2025,B020,Q3-2025,0.42,4.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B020_Q4_2025,B020,Q4-2025,0.42,4.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B006_Q1_2025,B006,Q1-2025,0.352,3.5,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B006_Q2_2025,B006,Q2-2025,0.352,3.5,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B006_Q3_2025,B006,Q3-2025,0.352,3.5,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B006_Q4_2025,B006,Q4-2025,0.352,3.5,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B007_Q1_2025,B007,Q1-2025,0.35,3.5,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B007_Q2_2025,B007,Q2-2025,0.35,3.5,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B007_Q3_2025,B007,Q3-2025,0.35,3.5,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B007_Q4_2025,B007,Q4-2025,0.35,3.5,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B016_Q1_2025,B016,Q1-2025,0.343,3.4,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B016_Q2_2025,B016,Q2-2025,0.343,3.4,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B016_Q3_2025,B016,Q3-2025,0.343,3.4,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B016_Q4_2025,B016,Q4-2025,0.343,3.4,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B025_Q1_2025,B025,Q1-2025,0.341,3.4,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B025_Q2_2025,B025,Q2-2025,0.341,3.4,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B025_Q3_2025,B025,Q3-2025,0.341,3.4,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B025_Q4_2025,B025,Q4-2025,0.341,3.4,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B022_Q1_2025,B022,Q1-2025,0.334,3.3,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B022_Q2_2025,B022,Q2-2025,0.334,3.3,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B022_Q3_2025,B022,Q3-2025,0.334,3.3,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B022_Q4_2025,B022,Q4-2025,0.334,3.3,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B004_Q1_2025,B004,Q1-2025,0.329,3.3,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B004_Q2_2025,B004,Q2-2025,0.329,3.3,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B004_Q3_2025,B004,Q3-2025,0.329,3.3,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B004_Q4_2025,B004,Q4-2025,0.329,3.3,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B021_Q1_2025,B021,Q1-2025,0.319,3.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B021_Q2_2025,B021,Q2-2025,0.319,3.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B021_Q3_2025,B021,Q3-2025,0.319,3.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B021_Q4_2025,B021,Q4-2025,0.319,3.2,0.85,HIGH,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B026_Q1_2025,B026,Q1-2025,0.284,2.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B026_Q2_2025,B026,Q2-2025,0.284,2.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B026_Q3_2025,B026,Q3-2025,0.284,2.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B026_Q4_2025,B026,Q4-2025,0.284,2.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B027_Q1_2025,B027,Q1-2025,0.282,2.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B027_Q2_2025,B027,Q2-2025,0.282,2.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B027_Q3_2025,B027,Q3-2025,0.282,2.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B027_Q4_2025,B027,Q4-2025,0.282,2.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B023_Q1_2025,B023,Q1-2025,0.28,2.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B023_Q2_2025,B023,Q2-2025,0.28,2.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B023_Q3_2025,B023,Q3-2025,0.28,2.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B023_Q4_2025,B023,Q4-2025,0.28,2.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B019_Q1_2025,B019,Q1-2025,0.252,2.5,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B019_Q2_2025,B019,Q2-2025,0.252,2.5,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B019_Q3_2025,B019,Q3-2025,0.252,2.5,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B019_Q4_2025,B019,Q4-2025,0.252,2.5,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B012_Q1_2025,B012,Q1-2025,0.243,2.4,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B012_Q2_2025,B012,Q2-2025,0.243,2.4,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B012_Q3_2025,B012,Q3-2025,0.243,2.4,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B012_Q4_2025,B012,Q4-2025,0.243,2.4,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B013_Q1_2025,B013,Q1-2025,0.221,2.2,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B013_Q2_2025,B013,Q2-2025,0.221,2.2,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B013_Q3_2025,B013,Q3-2025,0.221,2.2,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B013_Q4_2025,B013,Q4-2025,0.221,2.2,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B018_Q1_2025,B018,Q1-2025,0.194,1.9,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B018_Q2_2025,B018,Q2-2025,0.194,1.9,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B018_Q3_2025,B018,Q3-2025,0.194,1.9,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B018_Q4_2025,B018,Q4-2025,0.194,1.9,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B001_Q1_2025,B001,Q1-2025,0.187,1.9,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B001_Q2_2025,B001,Q2-2025,0.187,1.9,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B001_Q3_2025,B001,Q3-2025,0.187,1.9,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B001_Q4_2025,B001,Q4-2025,0.187,1.9,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B015_Q1_2025,B015,Q1-2025,0.184,1.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B015_Q2_2025,B015,Q2-2025,0.184,1.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B015_Q3_2025,B015,Q3-2025,0.184,1.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
PRED_B015_Q4_2025,B015,Q4-2025,0.184,1.8,0.85,MEDIUM,gnn_v3.0,2026-06-29 21:27:54
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